After an EF3 tornado struck just west of Bedford over the weekend, another round of severe weather appears likely for today. Once again, as is normally the case in March, the dynamics are favorable, but the thermodynamics aren’t. The instability seems even worse than what was available on Sunday, and the wind fields are slightly less favorable. Unless some significant heating (and moistening) can occur this morning to early afternoon, the tornado threat will be minimal. However, the mid-level winds are very strong, and the cold front is sharp, which could lead to strong winds and medium-sized hail this afternoon.
At this time, it appears that there will be two rounds of storms this afternoon. The first will be in the early afternoon and the second will be this evening as the cold front moves through. Due to the stronger forcing from the cold front, the most likely time for severe weather will be from 5-10PM.
In addition to the severe threat, a flood warning remains in effect for the Wabash River until further notice. At 2AM, the river was at 19.25 feet with a crest of 21.3 feet forecast to occur on Thursday morning. At 21 feet, Shamrock Park floods. Residents begin to move out. The following areas in Lafayette flood include Edgelea, Tecumseh, and Southlea additions and the area bounded by US 52 bypass, North 9th St, and Schuyler Avenue.